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Is the SAG Award for Outstanding Movie Cast a Good Predictor for Best Picture Oscar? – Billboard

The Screen Actors Guild award for outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture is often seen as bellwether for the Academy Award for best picture.

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But the two awards dont always go hand-in-hand. Of the 25 films to win the SAG Award for outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture since the category’s inception in 1995 (the awards show’s second year), 12 have gone on to win the Oscar for best picture, 12 have gone on to be nominated for best picture (but not win), and one wasnt even nominated for an Oscar for best picture. (That was Mike Nichols 1996 farce The Birdcage.)
Looking at it from the other direction, of the last 25 Academy…

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